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MOUZ NXT vs Ursa Prediction — CS2 Expert Pick

Expert CS2 prediction for MOUZ NXT vs Ursa — our pick is Ursa with 57% confidence. Result: prediction was wrong.

By CS2Bet Editorial Team · CS2Bet Analyst
NODWIN Clutch Series › Season 7 2026 › Group Stage
FINISHED View Match →
MOUZ NXT
WON
DE
2 0
FINAL
BO3
Ursa
✗ WRONG
Our Prediction
Ursa to win · WRONG ✗
Confidence
57%

Analytics Summary

MOUZ NXT and Ursa meet in the NODWIN Clutch Series #7 Group Stage in what is a closely contested matchup between two teams with similar career profiles. MOUZ NXT's career winrate of 59.83% (414W-278L) is nearly identical to Ursa's 60.13% (95W-63L). However, recent form gives Ursa a slight edge: they've gone 5W-5L in their last 10 compared to MOUZ NXT's 4W-6L. MOUZ NXT's recent run includes losses to ex-RUBY (0-2), ARCRED (0-2), aimclub (0-2), and BIG (0-2) — all quality opponents — suggesting they may be in a rough patch.

The only head-to-head meeting went to Ursa in October 2025 (1-0 Bo1). Ursa's recent wins include 2-0 victories over Acend and Leo Team, and a 2-1 win over Johnny Speeds, showing they can perform in Bo3 format. MOUZ NXT's wins include a 2-1 over GenOne and a 2-0 over zajezdzacze. Player data is limited — only Ursa's deeN is available with a 1.01 rating and 69.75 ADR, while MOUZ NXT has no player stats in the API data.

The betting market agrees with a slight Ursa lean: odds of 2.22/2.16 for MOUZ NXT vs 1.61/1.62 for Ursa imply roughly a 38/62 split. Given Ursa's marginally better recent form, H2H advantage, and market consensus, we lean Ursa — but this is a low-confidence call given the similarity of both teams' profiles.

Team Analysis

MOUZ NXT
🥇 WON
✅ Strengths
  • +Strong career record: 59.83% winrate across 692 maps (414W-278L)
  • +Won 2-1 vs GenOne and 2-0 vs zajezdzacze in recent Bo3 matches
  • +MOUZ NXT brand has historically produced quality CS2 talent
⚠️ Weaknesses
  • Poor recent form: 4W-6L in last 10 matches
  • Recent losses to ex-RUBY (0-2), ARCRED (0-2), aimclub (0-2), and BIG (0-2)
  • Lost the only H2H meeting vs Ursa (0-1 Bo1, October 2025)
  • No player stats available in API data
  • Market underdog at 2.22 odds (implied ~31% win probability)
Ursa
❌ WRONG
✅ Strengths
  • +Slightly better recent form: 5W-5L vs MOUZ NXT's 4W-6L
  • +Won the only H2H meeting vs MOUZ NXT (1-0 Bo1, October 2025)
  • +Recent Bo3 wins: 2-0 vs Acend, 2-0 vs Leo Team, 2-1 vs Johnny Speeds
  • +Market favorite at 1.61 odds (implied ~62% win probability)
⚠️ Weaknesses
  • Lost to ESC Gaming 0-2 and Phantom 1-2 in recent matches u2014 inconsistency
  • Career sample size smaller than MOUZ NXT (158 maps vs 692)
  • Only one player stat available (deeN: 1.01 rating) u2014 limited data

Recent Form (Last 50 Matches)

MOUZ NXT — last 50 matches
27W0D23L54% WR
Ursa — last 49 matches
30W0D19L61% WR

Head-to-Head History

1
wins
2 matches
1
CS2Bet Editorial Team

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