NIP vs 100 Thieves Prediction — CS2 Expert Pick

This StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 European Qualifier Bo3 between NIP and 100 Thieves is one of the most evenly matched contests of the day. 100 Thieves arrive in better recent form — 7W-3L in their last 10 matches compared to NIP's 5W-5L — and their roster averages a higher 1.12 player rating versus NIP's 1.08. device leads 100T with a 1.21 rating (76.36 ADR), while sirah (1.13), poiii (1.13), and rain (1.09) provide strong support. The team's 57.78% career winrate across 90 maps also edges NIP's 50.69% over 797 maps.

NIP counter with an impressive roster of their own: cairne (1.20, 82.12 ADR), xKacpersky (1.18), r1nkle (1.16), stavn (1.15), and ewjerkz (1.14) give them five players rated above 1.10 — more depth than 100T's five-man lineup. NIP hold the H2H edge at 2-1, including a decisive 2-0 Bo3 win over 100 Thieves at the CCT Season 3 Global Finals in April 2026. The Thunderpick odds of 1.65 / 2.10 imply roughly a 61% win probability for NIP, suggesting the market leans toward the more experienced organization.

The key tension here is 100T's superior recent form and slightly higher ratings versus NIP's H2H advantage and market backing. In a Bo3 format, 100T's device-led lineup and 7W-3L momentum give them a slight statistical edge. We lean 100T as a mild upset pick, but this is genuinely a coin-flip match where either outcome would be unsurprising.