SPARTA vs Ursa Prediction — CS2 Expert Pick
Expert CS2 prediction for SPARTA vs Ursa — our pick is Ursa with 58% confidence. Result: prediction was wrong.
Analytics Summary
Despite SPARTA being the slight betting favorite (1.77 vs Ursa's 1.98), the underlying data points toward Ursa in this NODWIN Clutch Series #9 Group Stage Bo3. Ursa's top-5 roster averages a 1.136 rating (KaRnez 1.20, Alv 1.20, 4X1s 1.13, Jyo 1.08, Krad 1.07) compared to SPARTA's 1.108 (El1an 1.17, TRAVIS 1.11, Forester 1.11, h1ghnesS 1.10, NickelBack 1.05). More significantly, Ursa's career winrate of 60.13% substantially outpaces SPARTA's 50.82% — SPARTA are essentially a .500 team historically.
Recent form strongly favors Ursa: 5W-5L versus SPARTA's concerning 3W-7L in the last 10 matches. SPARTA's recent record includes losses to Oxuji Esports, Nuclear TigeRES, Lazer Cats, GenOne, Just Players, Walczaki, and Nemiga — a troubling run against mid-tier opposition. Ursa, meanwhile, have beaten ex-Zero Tenacity, ex-RUBY, against All authority, and ASTRAL recently.
The sole H2H meeting (October 2025, Bo3 2-1 SPARTA win) gives SPARTA a narrow historical edge, but one match is insufficient to override the broader statistical picture. We lean Ursa based on their superior player ratings, better career winrate, and significantly better recent form. The odds gap is small enough that this is a value pick on Ursa at 1.98.
Team Analysis
Recent Form (Last 50 Matches)
Head-to-Head History
