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Astralis vs TYLOO Prediction — CS2 Expert Pick

Expert CS2 prediction for Astralis vs TYLOO — our pick is TYLOO with 58% confidence. Result: prediction was correct.

By CS2Bet Editorial Team · CS2Bet Analyst
IEM › Cologne Major 2026 › Stage 2
FINISHED View Match →
Astralis
DK
0 1
FINAL
BO1
TYLOO
WON ✓ CORRECT
CN
Our Prediction
TYLOO to win · CORRECT ✓
Confidence
58%

Analytics Summary

Despite Astralis being the betting favorite at 1.45-1.48, the data tells a different story. TYLOO have won the last three head-to-head meetings against Astralis — a 1-2 Bo3 loss in August 2025, a 1-3 Bo5 defeat in July 2025, and a 1-2 Bo3 in July 2025 — making the H2H record 3-0 in TYLOO's favor in recent years. Astralis's three wins in the H2H all date back to 2016-2018, making them essentially irrelevant to the current rosters.

TYLOO's player statistics are notably stronger. Their roster features JamYoung (1.21 rating, 81.43 ADR), zero (1.20 rating, 79.11 ADR), Moseyuh (1.16), SLOWLY (1.15), and Mercury (1.15) — a team average of approximately 1.15. Astralis counters with phzy (1.14), Ryu (1.14), Magisk (1.12), and Bubzkji (1.11), averaging around 1.10. TYLOO's KAST numbers (~73%) also edge Astralis (~71%). In Stage 2, TYLOO beat paiN in Round 1 before losing to FUT in Round 2, while Astralis beat GamerLegion before being crushed 5-13 by 9z.

TYLOO's recent form of 6W-4L outpaces Astralis's concerning 4W-6L run. The market's preference for Astralis appears to be based on brand recognition rather than current data. This is a value pick on TYLOO, though the Bo1 format keeps confidence moderate.

Team Analysis

Astralis
✅ Strengths
  • +Strong career record: 546W-309L (63.86% winrate) across 855 maps
  • +Experienced roster with Magisk (1.12 rating) and Bubzkji (1.11 rating)
  • +Betting market favorite at 1.45-1.48 odds
  • +Beat GamerLegion 13-4 in Stage 2 Round 1
⚠️ Weaknesses
  • Poor recent form: 4W-6L in last 10 matches (40% win rate)
  • Lost last 3 H2H meetings vs TYLOO (all in 2025)
  • Crushed 5-13 by 9z in Stage 2 Round 2 u2014 alarming performance
  • Lower team average player rating (~1.10) vs TYLOO (~1.15)
TYLOO
🥇 WON ✅ CORRECT
✅ Strengths
  • +Won last 3 H2H meetings vs Astralis (2025 streak)
  • +Superior player ratings: JamYoung (1.21), zero (1.20), Moseyuh (1.16), SLOWLY (1.15)
  • +Better recent form: 6W-4L vs Astralis's 4W-6L
  • +Higher team average KAST (~73%) indicating better round consistency
  • +Beat paiN Gaming in Stage 2 Round 1
⚠️ Weaknesses
  • Lost to FUT Esports in Stage 2 Round 2
  • Career winrate (62.64%) slightly below Astralis (63.86%)
  • Bo1 format means any single map can go either way

Recent Form (Last 50 Matches)

Astralis — last 49 matches
28W0D21L57% WR
TYLOO — last 50 matches
36W0D14L72% WR

Head-to-Head History

3
wins
7 matches
4
CS2Bet Editorial Team

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