FURIA vs Passion UA Prediction — CS2 Expert Pick

FURIA hold the only H2H meeting on record, a 2-0 Bo3 win over Passion UA in May 2024. Playing on home soil in Brazil, FURIA will have the crowd behind them — a significant psychological factor at IEM Rio. Their roster features molodoy (1.20 rating, 77.21 ADR, 1.33 K/D), KSCERATO (1.19 rating, 79.54 ADR, 74.84 KAST), yuurih (1.13 rating, 78.74 ADR), and FalleN (1.07 rating) — four elite-level performers. Their 58.95% career winrate (336W-234L) edges Passion UA's 55.88% (233W-184L).

Passion UA come in with a 6W-4L recent record, but their form is mixed — wins over BESTIA (2-0), ASTRAL (2-0), PURE (2-1), FaZe (2-1), and Eternal Fire (2-1), but losses to Sangal (1-2), Alliance (0-2), Monte (0-2), and Tricked (1-2). Critically, Passion UA are playing with a stand-in: FaNg replacing Senzu due to ESL roster requirements mandating a North American player. FaNg's recent 0.98 rating across 36 maps is below average, weakening their lineup.

FURIA's 4W-6L recent form is a concern — they've been inconsistent in 2026, losing to Team Falcons, Aurora Gaming, Astralis, 3DMAX, and B8. However, the home crowd advantage, superior individual player ratings (molodoy and KSCERATO both above 1.19), and Passion UA's stand-in situation tip the balance. The odds at 1.12/5.30 reflect FURIA as heavy favorites, and while their recent form doesn't fully justify that, the talent gap and home advantage support the pick.