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Phantom vs Vexar Prediction — CS2 Expert Pick

Expert CS2 prediction for Phantom vs Vexar — our pick is Phantom with 59% confidence. Analysis includes head-to-head record, recent form and betting odds comparison.

By CS2Bet Editorial Team · CS2Bet Analyst
NODWIN Clutch Series › Season 10 2026 › Group Stage
UPCOMING View Match →
Phantom
OUR PICK
PL
VS
BO3
Vexar
RU
🏆
Our Prediction
Phantom to win
Confidence
59%

Use This Prediction to Bet on the Game

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Analytics Summary

Phantom face Vexar in the NODWIN Clutch Series Season 10 Round 3, a match that features one of the most dominant individual players in this tier: Vexar's obsward, who carries a staggering 1.40 rating with 86.2 ADR and 75.6% KAST. This is an exceptional stat line that could single-handedly swing maps. However, Phantom's team depth and better recent form provide a counterbalance. Phantom enter at 6W-4L in their last 10 (60% win rate), including a 2-0 win over G2 Ares on July 24 and a 2-1 win over paiN on July 15. Vexar sit at 5W-5L in their last 10 (50% win rate).

Beyond obsward, Vexar's supporting cast drops off significantly: KarmaN rates at 1.16, but datet (0.92), ADntZ (0.87), and keembo (0.86) are well below average. This creates a two-player team dynamic that Phantom can exploit. Phantom's roster is more balanced — DGL (1.14 rating, 1.21 K/D), KEi (1.13 rating, 81.7 ADR), and Kylar (1.08 rating) form a solid top three, with no player below 1.04 in the top five. Phantom's career winrate is 46.67% (70W-80L) vs Vexar's 57.14% (8W-6L), though Vexar's sample is tiny.

The Thunderpick odds (Phantom 1.75 / Vexar 1.97) favor Phantom, aligning with our assessment. While obsward's individual brilliance is a wildcard, Phantom's team balance and better recent form make them the pick at 59% confidence. The head-to-head record is 0-0.

Team Analysis

Phantom
🏆 PICK
✅ Strengths
  • +Better recent form: 6W-4L in last 10 matches (60% win rate)
  • +DGL posting 1.14 rating with elite 1.21 K/D ratio
  • +KEi contributing 1.13 rating and 81.7 ADR
  • +Balanced roster u2014 all top 5 players rated 1.04 or above
  • +Market-backed at 1.75 odds (Thunderpick)
⚠️ Weaknesses
  • Career winrate below 50%: 46.67% across 150 maps
  • Lost to INOX Division 1-2 on July 26 u2014 most recent match was a loss
  • No head-to-head history against Vexar
Vexar
✅ Strengths
  • +obsward is a game-changer: 1.40 rating, 86.2 ADR, 75.6% KAST
  • +KarmaN contributing 1.16 rating and 77.2 ADR
  • +Career winrate: 57.14% (8W-6L) u2014 positive record
  • +Won vs Honvu00e9d 2-1 on July 25 u2014 recent competitive result
⚠️ Weaknesses
  • Roster heavily dependent on obsward u2014 three players below 0.93 rating
  • datet (0.92), ADntZ (0.87), keembo (0.86) are significant weak links
  • Recent form only 5W-5L (50% win rate)
  • Market underdog at 1.97 odds (Thunderpick)

Recent Form (Last 50 Matches)

Phantom — last 49 matches
26W0D23L53% WR
Vexar — last 25 matches
13W0D12L52% WR

Head-to-Head History

No previous matches found between these teams.
CS2Bet Editorial Team

CS2Bet.io Prediction Analyst

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