Phantom vs Vexar — CS2 Match BO3 at Group Stage

PHA ✓

WIN PROB

59% : 41%

Vexar

Phantom face Vexar in the NODWIN Clutch Series Season 10 Round 3, a match that features one of the most dominant individual players in this tier: Vexar's obsward, who carries a staggering 1.40 rating with 86.2 ADR and 75.6% KAST. This is an exceptional stat line that could single-handedly swing maps. However, Phantom's team depth and better recent form provide a counterbalance. Phantom enter at 6W-4L in their last 10 (60% win rate), including a 2-0 win over G2 Ares on July 24 and a 2-1 win over paiN on July 15. Vexar sit at 5W-5L in their last 10 (50% win rate).Beyond obsward, Vexar's supporting cast drops off significantly: KarmaN rates at 1.16, but datet (0.92), ADntZ (0.87), and keembo (0.86) are well below average. This creates a two-player team dynamic that Phantom can exploit. Phantom's roster is more balanced — DGL (1.14 rating, 1.21 K/D), KEi (1.13 rating, 81.7 ADR), and Kylar (1.08 rating) form a solid top three, with no player below 1.04 in the top five. Phantom's career winrate is 46.67% (70W-80L) vs Vexar's 57.14% (8W-6L), though Vexar's sample is tiny.The Thunderpick odds (Phantom 1.75 / Vexar 1.97) favor Phantom, aligning with our assessment. While obsward's individual brilliance is a wildcard, Phantom's team balance and better recent form make them the pick at 59% confidence. The head-to-head record is 0-0.