STATE vs Lilmix Prediction — CS2 Expert Pick

This CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group A match is a close contest between two mid-tier European teams. STATE (formerly WOPA Esport) carry a 5W-5L record in their last 10 matches and a career winrate of 48.44% (31W-33L). Lilmix have been in worse form recently — just 3W-7L in their last 10 — and their career winrate of 44.95% (338W-414L) across a much larger sample confirms they are a step below the top of this tier.

The head-to-head record shows Lilmix won their only meeting in January 2026 with a 2-0 sweep, which is a point in their favor. However, that result came when STATE were operating under a different identity, and their current 5-5 form is meaningfully better than Lilmix's 3-7 slump. Neither team has individual player stats available in the current dataset, limiting deeper analysis.

Thunderpick odds of 1.50/2.40 imply STATE as a 62% favorite. Given STATE's better recent form and career winrate, this aligns with our assessment, though the single H2H loss to Lilmix introduces uncertainty. We lean STATE but with low confidence given the limited data.