TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming Prediction — CS2 Expert Pick
Expert CS2 prediction for TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming — our pick is TheMongolz with 65% confidence. Result: prediction was wrong.
Analytics Summary
TheMongolz enter this PGL Astana 2026 elimination match with a commanding 6-2 head-to-head advantage over Aurora Gaming, including a 2-0 win over Aurora on March 27, 2026. Their recent form of 6W-4L (60%) is superior to Aurora's 4W-6L (40%), and their career winrate of 61.11% (W209/L133) edges Aurora's 58.56%. The Mongolz also delivered one of the tournament's standout results, defeating G2 Esports 2-0 in Round 3 with 910 earning MVP honors.
Aurora Gaming, featuring XANTARES, woxic, and MAJ3R, are a dangerous team with individual star power, but their recent form has been inconsistent — losses to MOUZ (twice), Heroic, NaVi, Alliance, and M80 in recent weeks. Their best result at this event was a 2-0 win over PARIVISION, while TheMongolz beat G2. The H2H record of 6-2 in TheMongolz's favor is the most compelling data point here.
The odds at 1.78/1.92 reflect a close match, but the combination of superior recent form, dominant H2H history, and better tournament performance at PGL Astana 2026 makes TheMongolz the clear pick. Aurora's star players could make this competitive, but the data strongly favors the Mongolian squad.
Team Analysis
Recent Form (Last 50 Matches)
Head-to-Head History
