100 Thieves vs STATE Prediction — CS2 Expert Pick

This Parken Challenger Championship Season 8 Playoffs match features two of the hottest teams in the field. STATE have been exceptional recently with a 9W-1L record in their last 10 matches, but 100 Thieves are not far behind at 8W-2L. The key differentiator is individual quality: 100 Thieves average a 1.12 team rating vs STATE's 1.04, and their ADR of 75.9 vs 71.6 shows significantly stronger fragging output. Star player dev1ce leads 100 Thieves with a 1.21 rating — one of the highest in this tournament — while STATE's anarkez tops out at 1.13.

100 Thieves' roster features elite-level talent: rain, dev1ce, sirah, Ag1l, and poiii, coached by gla1ve. This is a team assembled from top European CS2 talent, and their 57.8% career winrate vs STATE's 48.4% reflects their pedigree. 100 Thieves recently won the Parken Challenger Championship #6 (1st place, May 11, 2026) and have defeated Sashi Academy 2-0 and Eternal 21 2-0 in this very tournament. There is no H2H history between these teams.

While STATE's 9W-1L form is impressive and cannot be dismissed, 100 Thieves' superior individual stats, higher career winrate, and star-studded roster make them the clear favorite. The KAST edge (71.8% vs 70.3%) further supports 100 Thieves as the pick in what should be a competitive Bo3.