MASONIC vs STATE Prediction — CS2 Expert Pick
Expert CS2 prediction for MASONIC vs STATE — our pick is STATE with 68% confidence. Result: prediction was correct.
Analytics Summary
STATE enter this Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage Bo3 in exceptional form, posting a remarkable 9W-1L record in their last 10 matches — the second-best recent form in today's slate. MASONIC, by contrast, have gone just 5W-5L in the same period. The H2H record also favors STATE: they defeated MASONIC 2-1 in a Bo3 in April 2026, and according to web research, STATE also beat MASONIC in the Gamebox Masters final at the same event — demonstrating a clear psychological and tactical edge over this opponent.
STATE's individual stats support their form: the team averages 1.04 rating versus MASONIC's 0.97, with anarkez (1.13 rating, 72.95 ADR), thamlike (1.10 rating, 74.63 ADR), Zanto (1.09 rating), and sL1m3 (1.09 rating) forming a formidable top-four. MASONIC's Botman (1.13 rating, 75.14 ADR) and KralleJ (1.08 rating, 78.73 ADR) are competitive at the top, but the team's depth drops off significantly with players like Avou (0.83) and grumpyMonk (0.80).
MASONIC's career winrate of 53.22% over 793 matches is superior to STATE's 48.44% over 64 matches, but STATE's current form, H2H dominance, and better individual stats all point in one direction. STATE are the clear pick here, with their 9W-1L run and back-to-back wins over MASONIC making them a strong favorite in this Bo3.
