G2 vs Aurora Gaming — CS2 Match BO3 at Group A

G2 ✓

WIN PROB

65% : 35%

AUR

G2 and Aurora Gaming meet again in the BLAST Open Porto 2026 Group A lower bracket final, a rematch of their August 26 upper bracket encounter where G2 won convincingly 2-0 (Inferno 13-5, Anubis 16-12). G2's roster — MATYS (1.17 rating, 81.60 ADR), HeavyGod (1.16 rating), SunPayus (1.15 rating), NertZ (1.14 rating), and huNter- (1.12 rating) — averages 1.148 rating across five starters, showing balanced firepower. G2 also beat Natus Vincere 2-0 on August 30, demonstrating continued momentum in the lower bracket.Aurora Gaming has shown resilience, sweeping M80 2-0 and DENDELE 2-0 in the lower bracket to reach this stage. XANTARES leads with a 1.22 rating and 85.32 ADR, while woxic (1.13) and Soulfly (1.13) provide solid support. However, Aurora's IGL kyxsan publicly acknowledged the team's early-stage development — the roster has been together approximately one month — and cited frequent opening deaths as a key weakness. Their average rating (1.118) trails G2's (1.148), and the betting market prices G2 at 1.65 versus Aurora at 2.10 (Thunderpick).G2's proven head-to-head advantage in this tournament (2-0 win on August 26), superior team cohesion, and slightly stronger individual stats make them the clear pick. Aurora's upset potential exists through XANTARES's individual brilliance, but the structural disadvantages of a new roster under pressure in an elimination match favor the more established G2 lineup.