STATE vs 9INE — CS2 Match BO3 at Group B

STA

WIN PROB

38% : 62%

✓ 9INE

This Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier Group B match presents an interesting contrast: STATE holds a superior recent form of 6W-4L (60% win rate) versus 9INE's poor 2W-8L (20% win rate). However, the Thunderpick odds strongly favor 9INE at 1.38 vs STATE at 2.80, and Epicbet mirrors this at 1.39 vs 2.86. The market is pricing in 9INE's significantly higher pedigree and individual talent despite their recent slump.9INE's roster statistics justify the market confidence: their average player rating of 1.13 edges STATE's 1.09. Crucially, 9INE's top players are elite — Izzy (1.17 rating, 1.19 K/D), mantuu (1.14 rating, 1.21 K/D), and st0m4k (1.13 rating, 77.84 ADR) form a formidable core. Their career record of 324W-275L (54% win rate) dwarfs STATE's 31W-33L, reflecting a much more experienced organization. Web research confirms 9INE's roster includes b1elany (joined July 3, 2026) and Flayy, with recent technical difficulties causing a forfeit in their Group B opener — explaining the poor recent form.STATE's anarkez (1.13 rating, 1.19 K/D) and thamlike (1.10 rating, 74.19 KAST) are solid performers, but the team lacks the depth and experience of 9INE. With no H2H history between these sides, the combination of 9INE's superior individual talent, career pedigree, and market pricing makes them the pick despite STATE's better recent form.