Team Falcons vs G2 — CS2 Match BO3 at Playoffs

FAL ✓

WIN PROB

70% : 30%

G2

Team Falcons enter their BLAST Open Porto quarter-final against G2 on the back of a strong 8W-2L run over their last 10 maps, and their top five by rating — Kyousuke (1.31), m0NESY (1.28) and NiKo (1.22) leading a deep, high-ceiling lineup — grades out ahead of G2's core of MATYS (1.17), HeavyGod (1.16) and SunPayus (1.15).The head-to-head record adds weight to the form edge rather than contradicting it: Falcons lead the series 4-3 and have won the last three meetings in a row, most recently in June 2026, with G2's series wins dating back to early-to-mid 2024. That's a meaningful recency skew in a matchup where both rosters have changed since those older results.Market odds (Falcons around 1.55-1.59, G2 around 2.30-2.34) align with the statistical picture rather than contradicting it, which supports treating this as a genuine favourite situation rather than a market overreaction. The main risk to the pick is G2's higher career winrate (57.99% to Falcons' 54.52%) over a much larger sample, but recent form and head-to-head recency carry more weight for a single upcoming Bo3.