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Ursa vs BIG Prediction — CS2 Expert Pick

Expert CS2 prediction for Ursa vs BIG — our pick is BIG with 62% confidence. Result: prediction was correct.

By CS2Bet Editorial Team · CS2Bet Analyst
CCT Europe › Series #20 season 3 2026 › Playoffs
FINISHED View Match →
Ursa
0 2
FINAL
BO3
BIG
WON ✓ CORRECT
DE
Our Prediction
BIG to win · CORRECT ✓
Confidence
62%

Analytics Summary

Both Ursa and BIG arrive at this CCT Europe Series 20 quarterfinal with identical 7W-3L records in their last 10 matches, making this a close matchup on paper. However, the quality of opposition tells a different story. BIG's recent wins include FaZe Clan (2-1), Bebop (2-1), ex-Zero Tenacity (2-1), and Betclic Apogee (2-1) — a run that includes a notable scalp against a historically top-tier organization in FaZe. BIG's career record of 462W-359L (56.27%) across 821 maps reflects a team with deep tournament experience at the European tier-2 level and above.

Ursa's 7W-3L run includes wins over Johnny Speeds (2-1), MINLATE (2-1), megoshort (2-0 twice), GenOne (2-0), and Omega (2-0) — solid results but against lower-tier opposition. Their losses to TNT, ECSTATIC, and Just Players suggest vulnerability against teams with strong individual players. Ursa's career record of 89W-56L (61.38%) is impressive percentage-wise but across a much smaller sample (145 maps vs BIG's 821). There is no head-to-head history between these teams.

Note: The odds data shows a significant discrepancy between providers (Thunderpick: BIG 1.50 / Ursa 2.36; Epicbet: Ursa 1.18 / BIG 4.30), suggesting a possible data error on one platform. Taking the Thunderpick line as more reliable (BIG ~1.50 implies ~67% win probability), the market leans BIG. Our analysis agrees: BIG's experience, quality of recent wins, and established pedigree make them the pick in this quarterfinal.

Team Analysis

Ursa
✅ Strengths
  • +Strong recent form: 7W-3L in last 10 matches (70% win rate)
  • +Career winrate of 61.38% u2014 higher percentage than BIG's 56.27%
  • +Beat Johnny Speeds 2-1 in Round of 16 to advance to quarterfinals
  • +Won 7 of last 10 including back-to-back wins over megoshort
⚠️ Weaknesses
  • Wins primarily against lower-tier teams (MINLATE, megoshort, GenOne, Omega)
  • Losses to TNT, ECSTATIC, and Just Players u2014 vulnerability against aggressive opponents
  • Much smaller career sample (145 maps) vs BIG's 821 maps
  • No head-to-head history vs BIG
BIG
🥇 WON ✅ CORRECT
✅ Strengths
  • +Beat FaZe Clan 2-1 in recent matches u2014 quality scalp against top-tier opposition
  • +Extensive career experience: 462W-359L across 821 maps
  • +Recent form: 7W-3L including wins over Bebop, ex-Zero Tenacity, and Betclic Apogee
  • +Beat Bebop 2-1 in most recent match (April 8) u2014 strong preparation
⚠️ Weaknesses
  • Career winrate of 56.27% u2014 lower percentage than Ursa's 61.38%
  • Losses to OG, JiJieHao, and Sinners in last 10 u2014 inconsistency
  • No head-to-head history vs Ursa

Recent Form (Last 50 Matches)

Ursa — last 49 matches
27W0D22L55% WR
BIG — last 49 matches
37W0D12L76% WR

Head-to-Head History

0
wins
1 matches
1
CS2Bet Editorial Team

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