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STATE vs Lilmix Prediction — CS2 Expert Pick

Expert CS2 prediction for STATE vs Lilmix — our pick is STATE with 57% confidence. Result: prediction was wrong.

By CS2Bet Editorial Team · CS2Bet Analyst
CCT Europe › Series #1 Play-In 2026 › Group A
FINISHED View Match →
STATE
✗ WRONG
DK
1 2
FINAL
BO3
Lilmix
WON
SE
Our Prediction
STATE to win · WRONG ✗
Confidence
57%

Analytics Summary

This CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group A match is a close contest between two mid-tier European teams. STATE (formerly WOPA Esport) carry a 5W-5L record in their last 10 matches and a career winrate of 48.44% (31W-33L). Lilmix have been in worse form recently — just 3W-7L in their last 10 — and their career winrate of 44.95% (338W-414L) across a much larger sample confirms they are a step below the top of this tier.

The head-to-head record shows Lilmix won their only meeting in January 2026 with a 2-0 sweep, which is a point in their favor. However, that result came when STATE were operating under a different identity, and their current 5-5 form is meaningfully better than Lilmix's 3-7 slump. Neither team has individual player stats available in the current dataset, limiting deeper analysis.

Thunderpick odds of 1.50/2.40 imply STATE as a 62% favorite. Given STATE's better recent form and career winrate, this aligns with our assessment, though the single H2H loss to Lilmix introduces uncertainty. We lean STATE but with low confidence given the limited data.

Team Analysis

STATE
❌ WRONG
✅ Strengths
  • +Better recent form: 5W-5L vs Lilmix's 3W-7L in last 10 matches
  • +Higher career winrate: 48.44% vs Lilmix's 44.95%
  • +Market odds of 1.50 reflect slight favorite status
⚠️ Weaknesses
  • Lost only H2H meeting vs Lilmix (0-2, January 2026)
  • Career winrate below 50% (31W-33L)
  • No individual player stats available for deeper analysis
Lilmix
🥇 WON
✅ Strengths
  • +Won the only H2H meeting 2-0 in January 2026
  • +Large career sample size (752 total matches) showing tournament experience
⚠️ Weaknesses
  • Poor recent form: 3W-7L in last 10 matches
  • Career winrate of only 44.95% (338W-414L)
  • No individual player stats available
  • Odds of 2.40 reflect underdog status

Recent Form (Last 50 Matches)

STATE — last 49 matches
22W0D27L45% WR
Lilmix — last 48 matches
14W0D34L29% WR

Head-to-Head History

0
wins
2 matches
2
CS2Bet Editorial Team

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