MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming Prediction — CS2 Expert Pick
Expert CS2 prediction for MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming — our pick is MOUZ with 65% confidence. Result: prediction was correct.
Analytics Summary
MOUZ get the lean against Aurora Gaming in PGL Astana's playoff quarter-final, with both books pricing MOUZ at 1.71-1.72. The matchup is essentially even on paper — both 5W-5L recent, near-identical career rates (58.37% MOUZ, 58.56% Aurora) — but MOUZ lead the H2H 4-1.
The rosters mirror each other
MOUZ: xelex (1.22), torzsi (1.16), Jimpphat (1.15). Aurora: XANTARES (1.22), woxic (1.13), Soulfly (1.13). Three 1.13+ fraggers each, top individuals tied at 1.22. The structural edge is MOUZ's bracket consistency — they navigated the 7-1 G2 H2H trap successfully in R2 — and the 4-1 historical matchup record over Aurora.
The 65 confidence
This is genuinely close. Aurora's XANTARES on a hot day can carry a Bo3, and a 5-5 recent stretch doesn't separate either side. The H2H weight plus the market consensus is the case for MOUZ; Bo3 variance keeps confidence honest.
Team Analysis
Recent Form (Last 50 Matches)
Head-to-Head History
