G2 Ares vs Lilmix — CS2 Match BO3 at Play-In Group D

G2 Ares are heavy favorites in this NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D match, and the data strongly supports that assessment. Their head-to-head record against Lilmix stands at 4-1, with three of those wins coming as 2-0 sweeps. The most recent meeting on May 27, 2026 ended 2-1 in G2 Ares' favor. The betting market agrees: Thunderpick prices G2 Ares at 1.17 (implied ~85% win probability) and Epicbet at 1.18.G2 Ares' career winrate of 55.38% (103W-83L) is meaningfully better than Lilmix's 44.95% (338W-414L). At the player level, G2 Ares' top performers Nidoria (1.13 rating, 75.75 ADR, 75.39% KAST) and tAk (1.12 rating, 77.94 ADR) lead a cohesive unit. Note that web research indicates G2 Ares' current active roster features SHiNE as IGL (added February 2026), with Nidoria having been released — the API roster may reflect historical data. Regardless, the team's structural advantage and H2H dominance are clear.Lilmix's roster shows MaiL09 (1.16 rating) and tvs (1.10) as capable performers, but the team's overall winrate below 45% and their 1-4 H2H record against G2 Ares tell the story. G2 Ares are the confident pick here, with the only caveat being the potential roster discrepancy noted above.

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