MANA eSports vs Persona Grata — CS2 Match BO3 at Play-In

MANA ✓

WIN PROB

72% : 28%

PG

MANA eSports are heavy favorites in this NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Bo3, and the data strongly supports that assessment. MANA have gone 6W-4L (60%) in their last 10 matches, with recent wins over Hashiras (2-1), FC Famalicao (2-1), UNiTY esports (2-0), HEROIC Academy (2-1), and RUSTEC (2-0). Their roster is the standout factor: four players rated above 1.07 — Caleyy (1.11, 78.99 ADR), BledarD (1.08, 72.34 ADR), ammar (1.08, 72.86 ADR), and cerber (1.07, 76.71 ADR). This is a well-rounded, high-performing lineup with KAST percentages all above 69%, indicating consistent round impact.Persona Grata, by contrast, are in poor form at 3W-7L (30%) in their last 10 matches. Their recent results include back-to-back losses to Bebop (0-2 and 1-2) and a long gap in competitive play — five of their last 10 matches were Bo1s from May 2025, suggesting limited recent Bo3 experience. Their career winrate of 39.39% (13W-20L) is well below MANA's 52.9%. No player stats are available for Persona Grata, making individual comparison impossible, but the team-level data is conclusive.The market at Epicbet has MANA at 1.36 odds (implied ~74% probability), which aligns with our analysis. MANA's superior roster ratings, better recent form, and Persona Grata's lack of Bo3 experience in recent months make this a high-confidence pick. The only caveat is MANA's one weak link — LunaticYF at 0.55 rating and 33.2 ADR — which could be exploited in a long series.